From Dark and Darker Wiki

< % chances

No edit summary
No edit summary
Line 11: Line 11:
Binomial distribution:  
Binomial distribution:  
Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)
Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)
n
 
n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.
n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.
p
 
p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.
p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.


So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.
So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.

Revision as of 01:48, 28 August 2024

Yeah unfortunately your math is wrong. The way statics works doesn't follow your thought process.

If the chance of obtaining a Gold Coin Chest is .1%, and you can hit a pile 3-10 times, each time you hit the pile, the probability of getting a Gold Coin Chest remains at .1%.

However, with ten chances, overall, the odds go up to 0.996% in comparison to if someone only hit the pile once.

In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.

I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.

Binomial distribution: Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)

n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.

p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.

So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.