CommentStreams:916115dc0ecf630a79f89238ff0d3c34 - Revision history

Y1nmn at 01:59, 28 August 2024

2024-08-28T01:59:32Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 01:59, 28 August 2024
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	If the chance of obtaining a Gold Coin Chest is .1%, and you can hit a pile 3-10 times, each time you hit the pile, the probability of getting a Gold Coin Chest remains at .1%.		If the chance of obtaining a Gold Coin Chest is .1%, and you can hit a pile 3-10 times, each time you hit the pile, the probability of getting a Gold Coin Chest remains at .1%.

	However, with ten chances, overall, the odds go up to 0.996% in comparison to if someone only hit the pile once.		[[However, with ten chances, overall, the odds go up to 0.996% in comparison to if someone only hit the pile once.]]


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	(Just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)		(Just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)

	[This is called relative frequency, which in this case, is 20%]		[[This is called relative frequency, which in this case, is 20%]]

	[[If you flipped a coin 1000 times, you would get heads close to 500 times, but it's not guaranteed.]]		[[If you flipped a coin 1000 times, you would get heads close to 500 times, but it's not guaranteed.]]


	Binomial distribution:		[[Binomial distribution:]]
	Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)		[[Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)]]

	n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.		[[n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.]]

	p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.		[[p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.]]

	So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.		[[So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.]]

Y1nmn at 01:58, 28 August 2024

2024-08-28T01:58:38Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 01:58, 28 August 2024
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	[This is called relative frequency, which in this case, is 20%]		[This is called relative frequency, which in this case, is 20%]

			[[If you flipped a coin 1000 times, you would get heads close to 500 times, but it's not guaranteed.]]

Y1nmn at 01:55, 28 August 2024

2024-08-28T01:55:23Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 01:55, 28 August 2024
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	(Just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)		(Just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)

			[This is called relative frequency, which in this case, is 20%]

Y1nmn at 01:51, 28 August 2024

2024-08-28T01:51:52Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 01:51, 28 August 2024
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	However, with ten chances, overall, the odds go up to 0.996% in comparison to if someone only hit the pile once.		However, with ten chances, overall, the odds go up to 0.996% in comparison to if someone only hit the pile once.


	In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.		In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.
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	(Just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)		(Just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)


	Binomial distribution:		Binomial distribution:

Y1nmn at 01:51, 28 August 2024

2024-08-28T01:51:32Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 01:51, 28 August 2024
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	I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.		I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.

	(Just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)		(Just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)

Y1nmn at 01:51, 28 August 2024

2024-08-28T01:51:23Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 01:51, 28 August 2024
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	In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.		In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.

	I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop. (~~just~~ like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)		I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.
			(Just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)

	Binomial distribution:		Binomial distribution:

Y1nmn at 01:51, 28 August 2024

2024-08-28T01:51:07Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 01:51, 28 August 2024
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	In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.		In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.

	I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.		I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop. (just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)

	Binomial distribution:		Binomial distribution:

Y1nmn at 01:48, 28 August 2024

2024-08-28T01:48:46Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 01:48, 28 August 2024
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	Binomial distribution:		Binomial distribution:
	Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)		Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)
	n
	n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.		n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.
	p
	p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.		p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.

	So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.		So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.

Y1nmn at 01:48, 28 August 2024

2024-08-28T01:48:28Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 01:48, 28 August 2024
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	I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.		I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.

			Binomial distribution:
			Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)
			n
			n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.
			p
			p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.

			So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.

Y1nmn at 23:57, 26 August 2024

2024-08-26T23:57:01Z

New page

Yeah unfortunately your math is wrong. The way statics works doesn't follow your thought process.

If the chance of obtaining a Gold Coin Chest is .1%, and you can hit a pile 3-10 times, each time you hit the pile, the probability of getting a Gold Coin Chest remains at .1%.

However, with ten chances, overall, the odds go up to 0.996% in comparison to if someone only hit the pile once.

In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.

I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.