Dark and Darker Wiki - User contributions [en]

CommentStreams:916115dc0ecf630a79f89238ff0d3c34

2024-08-28T01:59:32Z

Y1nmn:

Yeah unfortunately your math is wrong. The way statics works doesn't follow your thought process.

If the chance of obtaining a Gold Coin Chest is .1%, and you can hit a pile 3-10 times, each time you hit the pile, the probability of getting a Gold Coin Chest remains at .1%.

[[However, with ten chances, overall, the odds go up to 0.996% in comparison to if someone only hit the pile once.]]

In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.

I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.

(Just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)

[[This is called relative frequency, which in this case, is 20%]]

[[If you flipped a coin 1000 times, you would get heads close to 500 times, but it's not guaranteed.]]

[[Binomial distribution:]]
[[Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)]]

[[n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.]]

[[p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.]]

[[So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.]]

CommentStreams:916115dc0ecf630a79f89238ff0d3c34

2024-08-28T01:58:38Z

Y1nmn:

Yeah unfortunately your math is wrong. The way statics works doesn't follow your thought process.

If the chance of obtaining a Gold Coin Chest is .1%, and you can hit a pile 3-10 times, each time you hit the pile, the probability of getting a Gold Coin Chest remains at .1%.

However, with ten chances, overall, the odds go up to 0.996% in comparison to if someone only hit the pile once.

In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.

I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.

(Just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)

[This is called relative frequency, which in this case, is 20%]

[[If you flipped a coin 1000 times, you would get heads close to 500 times, but it's not guaranteed.]]

Binomial distribution:
Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)

n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.

p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.

So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.

CommentStreams:916115dc0ecf630a79f89238ff0d3c34

2024-08-28T01:55:23Z

Y1nmn:

Yeah unfortunately your math is wrong. The way statics works doesn't follow your thought process.

If the chance of obtaining a Gold Coin Chest is .1%, and you can hit a pile 3-10 times, each time you hit the pile, the probability of getting a Gold Coin Chest remains at .1%.

However, with ten chances, overall, the odds go up to 0.996% in comparison to if someone only hit the pile once.

In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.

I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.

(Just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)

[This is called relative frequency, which in this case, is 20%]

Binomial distribution:
Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)

n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.

p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.

So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.

CommentStreams:916115dc0ecf630a79f89238ff0d3c34

2024-08-28T01:51:52Z

Y1nmn:

Yeah unfortunately your math is wrong. The way statics works doesn't follow your thought process.

If the chance of obtaining a Gold Coin Chest is .1%, and you can hit a pile 3-10 times, each time you hit the pile, the probability of getting a Gold Coin Chest remains at .1%.

However, with ten chances, overall, the odds go up to 0.996% in comparison to if someone only hit the pile once.

In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.

I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.

(Just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)

Binomial distribution:
Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)

n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.

p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.

So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.

CommentStreams:916115dc0ecf630a79f89238ff0d3c34

2024-08-28T01:51:32Z

Y1nmn:

Yeah unfortunately your math is wrong. The way statics works doesn't follow your thought process.

If the chance of obtaining a Gold Coin Chest is .1%, and you can hit a pile 3-10 times, each time you hit the pile, the probability of getting a Gold Coin Chest remains at .1%.

However, with ten chances, overall, the odds go up to 0.996% in comparison to if someone only hit the pile once.

In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.

I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.

(Just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)

Binomial distribution:
Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)

n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.

p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.

So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.

CommentStreams:916115dc0ecf630a79f89238ff0d3c34

2024-08-28T01:51:23Z

Y1nmn:

Yeah unfortunately your math is wrong. The way statics works doesn't follow your thought process.

If the chance of obtaining a Gold Coin Chest is .1%, and you can hit a pile 3-10 times, each time you hit the pile, the probability of getting a Gold Coin Chest remains at .1%.

However, with ten chances, overall, the odds go up to 0.996% in comparison to if someone only hit the pile once.

In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.

I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.
(Just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)

Binomial distribution:
Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)

n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.

p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.

So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.

CommentStreams:916115dc0ecf630a79f89238ff0d3c34

2024-08-28T01:51:07Z

Y1nmn:

Yeah unfortunately your math is wrong. The way statics works doesn't follow your thought process.

If the chance of obtaining a Gold Coin Chest is .1%, and you can hit a pile 3-10 times, each time you hit the pile, the probability of getting a Gold Coin Chest remains at .1%.

However, with ten chances, overall, the odds go up to 0.996% in comparison to if someone only hit the pile once.

In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.

I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop. (just like if you flip a coin 10 times, you may only get heads twice, even though it's a 50% chance you get heads!)

Binomial distribution:
Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)

n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.

p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.

So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.

CommentStreams:916115dc0ecf630a79f89238ff0d3c34

2024-08-28T01:48:46Z

Y1nmn:

Yeah unfortunately your math is wrong. The way statics works doesn't follow your thought process.

If the chance of obtaining a Gold Coin Chest is .1%, and you can hit a pile 3-10 times, each time you hit the pile, the probability of getting a Gold Coin Chest remains at .1%.

However, with ten chances, overall, the odds go up to 0.996% in comparison to if someone only hit the pile once.

In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.

I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.

Binomial distribution:
Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)

n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.

p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.

So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.

CommentStreams:916115dc0ecf630a79f89238ff0d3c34

2024-08-28T01:48:28Z

Y1nmn:

Yeah unfortunately your math is wrong. The way statics works doesn't follow your thought process.

If the chance of obtaining a Gold Coin Chest is .1%, and you can hit a pile 3-10 times, each time you hit the pile, the probability of getting a Gold Coin Chest remains at .1%.

However, with ten chances, overall, the odds go up to 0.996% in comparison to if someone only hit the pile once.

In layman's terms, every time you hit the pile, you're only going to get a chest .1% of the time. But the more you hit the pile, the more likely it is that you get a chest.

I must note: if a drop is .1%, and you do X to roll of the chance of obtaining the drop 1000 times, you are not guaranteed the drop.

Binomial distribution:
Variance=n⋅p⋅(1−p)
n
n is the number of pulls from the pile, which is 10.
p
p is the probability of getting a chest per pull, which is 0.1.

So, the variance of the number of chests obtained from 10 pulls is 0.9.

User:Y1nmn

2024-08-26T23:57:44Z

Y1nmn: Created page with "Statics of Getting Warlord + Warlord's Broken Sword Blade Technically, the probability of obtaining Warlord's Broken Sword Blade from The Forgotten Castle's 'Crypt' map from the 'Inferno' is .66% P(Warlord) = 1/3 = 0.33 ~ 33% P(Warlord's Broken Sword Blade) = 2/100 = 0.2 ~ 2% P(Warlord and Warlord's Broken Sword Blade) = 0.33 × 0.02 = 0.0066 ~ .6 Statics of Getting Lich + Dark Matter Technically, the probability of obtaining Dark Matter from The Forgotten Castle's 'C..."

Statics of Getting Warlord + Warlord's Broken Sword Blade

Technically, the probability of obtaining Warlord's Broken Sword Blade from The Forgotten Castle's 'Crypt' map from the 'Inferno' is .66%
P(Warlord) = 1/3 = 0.33 ~ 33%
P(Warlord's Broken Sword Blade) = 2/100 = 0.2 ~ 2%
P(Warlord and Warlord's Broken Sword Blade) = 0.33 × 0.02 = 0.0066 ~ .6

Statics of Getting Lich + Dark Matter

Technically, the probability of obtaining Dark Matter from The Forgotten Castle's 'Crypt' map from the 'Inferno' is .66%
P(Lich) = 1/3 = 0.33 ~ 33%
P(Dark Matter) = 2/100 = 0.2 ~ 2%
P(Lich and Dark Matter) = 0.33 × 0.02 = 0.0066 ~ .66%

Statics of Getting Ghost King + Ghostly Essence

Technically, the probability of obtaining Ghostly Essence from The Forgotten Castle's 'Crypt' map from the 'Inferno' is .66%
P(Ghost King) = 1/3 = 0.33 ~ 33%
P(Ghostly Essence) = 2/100 = 0.2 ~ 2%
P(Ghost King and Ghostly Essence) = 0.33 × 0.02 = 0.0066 ~ .66%

Statics of Getting Ghost King + Cursed Crown

Technically, the probability of obtaining Cursed Crown is 1.65%
P(Ghost King) = 1/3 = 0.33 ~ 33%
P(Cursed Crown) = 1/50 = 0.05 ~ 5%
P(Ghost King and Cursed Crown) = 0.33 × 0.05 = 0.0165 ~ .1.65%

CommentStreams:916115dc0ecf630a79f89238ff0d3c34

2024-08-26T23:57:01Z

Y1nmn:

CommentStreams:1d27e57bbcdc4507b228e402b687bb97

2024-08-26T23:35:22Z

Y1nmn:

Technically, the probability of obtaining Cursed Crown from The Forgotten Castle's 'Crypt' map from the 'Inferno' is 1.65%
P(Ghost King) = 1/3 = 0.33 ~ 33%
P(Cursed Crown) = 1/50 = 0.05 ~ 5%
P(Ghost King and Cursed Crown) = 0.33 × 0.05 = 0.0165 ~ .1.65%{{DISPLAYTITLE:
Statics of Getting Ghost King + Cursed Crown
}}

CommentStreams:150c8e8910d866863537556656226527

2024-08-26T23:33:17Z

Y1nmn:

Technically, the probability of obtaining Warlord's Broken Sword Blade from The Forgotten Castle's 'Crypt' map from the 'Inferno' is .66%
P(Warlord) = 1/3 = 0.33 ~ 33%
P(Warlord's Broken Sword Blade) = 2/100 = 0.2 ~ 2%
P(Warlord and Warlord's Broken Sword Blade) = 0.33 × 0.02 = 0.0066 ~ .66%{{DISPLAYTITLE:
Statics of Getting Warlord + Warlords Broken Sword Blade
}}

CommentStreams:08c00e2091360dca1dca1863c4e15092

2024-08-26T23:31:16Z

Y1nmn:

Technically, the probability of obtaining Dark Matter from The Forgotten Castle's 'Crypt' map from the 'Inferno' is .66%
P(Lich) = 1/3 = 0.33 ~ 33%
P(Dark Matter) = 2/100 = 0.2 ~ 2%
P(Lich and Dark Matter) = 0.33 × 0.02 = 0.0066 ~ .66%{{DISPLAYTITLE:
Statics of Getting Lich + Dark Matter
}}

CommentStreams:Eb00c18e024107f6de5467664e6a4b05

2024-08-26T23:29:36Z

Y1nmn:

Technically, the probability of obtaining Ghostly Essence from The Forgotten Castle's 'Crypt' map from the 'Inferno' is .66%
P(Ghost King) = 1/3 = 0.33 ~ 33%
P(Ghostly Essence) = 2/100 = 0.2 ~ 2%
P(Ghost King and Ghostly Essence) = 0.33 × 0.02 = 0.0066 ~ .66%{{DISPLAYTITLE:
Statics of Getting Ghost King + Ghostly Essence
}}

CommentStreams:150c8e8910d866863537556656226527

2024-08-26T23:28:21Z

Y1nmn:

CommentStreams:5f24cc94873fb17d98d275e9da96c653

2024-08-26T23:21:37Z

Y1nmn:

Technically, the probability of obtaining a Skull Key when queueing into [High Roller] The Forgotten Castle's 'Crypt' map from the Loose Loot drop located within the Inferno's 'Demon Throne' room is .5%
P(Inferno-01) = 1/2 = 0.5 ~ 50%
P(Skull Key Loose Loot) = 1/100 = 0.1 ~ 1%
P(Inferno-01 and Skull Key Loose Loot) = 0.5 × 0.01 = 0.005 ~ .5%

Technically, the probability of obtaining a Skull Key when queueing into The Forgotten Castle's 'Crypt' map from the Loose Loot drop located within the Inferno's 'Demon Throne' room is .25%
P(Inferno-01) = 1/2 = 0.5 ~ 50%
P(Skull Key Loose Loot) = 1/100 = 0.0025 ~ .25%
P(Inferno-01 and Skull Key Loose Loot) = 0.5 × 0.01 = 0.0025 ~ .25%{{DISPLAYTITLE:
Statics of Getting The Loose Loot Drop: Skull Key
}}